Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nicolas Mejia have met 3 times since 2021; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Lima Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2–0. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Mejia's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 3, Mejia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Mejia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 9, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 28, 2021
Lima Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | +6.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Mejia posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 06 26 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–70 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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