Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 2 times since 2026; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Valencia Challenger in 2026 on clay. Kecmanovic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Kecmanovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Miomir Kecmanovic won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 54% | 28/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 52% | 14/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Kecmanovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 212 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Miomir Kecmanovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 15, 2026
Valencia Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -41.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -5.34u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Kecmanovic's 20%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | L 16 64 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | L 26 64 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 36 63 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 63 36 57 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 36 75 75 | L 64 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 46 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 64 16 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 64 36 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 46% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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