Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Emilio NavaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦π·Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 3β0

πΊπΈEmilio Nava
#111 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
9wCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Emilio Nava have met 1 time since 2026; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1β0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 3 sets to Nava's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Nava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Emilio Nava | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
βοΈ Grinder
Nava
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emilio Nava.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Nava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Emilio Nava | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β4 | 4β2 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 3 | β |
| Distance | 1,959 mi Β· 3,153 km | β |
| Route | CAN β USA β MEX | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Nava's 29%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | L 16 67 64 67 |
| Marko Topo | W 67 76 63 | W 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 67 63 57 06 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 36 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 64 57 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril Β· 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon Β· Round of 128
Jun 30
Ignacio Buse
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Taro Daniel
Bratislava Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 11
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bratislava Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jun 6
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Marko Topo
Bad Rappenau Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 3
Max Houkes
Bad Rappenau Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β59 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 58% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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