Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Merida have met 1 time since 2026; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Merida's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 39% | 23/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 4.13 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -15.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Merida's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | L 36 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | L 36 75 26 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | L 26 64 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 76 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–62 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 60% |
| Sets won | 47% | 57% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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