Cameron Norrie vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งCameron Norrie
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ2

๐ญ๐ทMarin Cilic
#81 ยท 37 yrs ยท R
Cameron Norrie and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
๐ฏ Baseliner
Cilic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
May 1, 2021
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX โ CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Norrie's 38%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 26 75 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 36 75 46 | W 67 64 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 16 26 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | L 57 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 26 26 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 46 64 | W 76 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | W 75 76 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 48% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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