Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Sonego have met 4 times since 2019; Cameron Norrie leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Norrie leads 3–0. Norrie has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 6 sets to Sonego's 4. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Moselle Open - Metz (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2025
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2025
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 9, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | W 64 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | L 36 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 76 61 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | L 62 67 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | W 76 26 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | L 67 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | L 26 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | L 76 06 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 63 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 47% |
| Sets won | 53% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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