Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima
#19 · 25 yrs · R
32 meetings · sets 3–2
🇦🇷Tomas Martin Etcheverry
#31 · 27 yrs · R
4Brandon Nakashima and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Etcheverry's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Martin Etcheverry 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Etcheverry
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 18, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -5.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Etcheverry's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | L 36 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 67 46 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | L 46 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 75 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 63 36 105 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | W 76 67 108 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 62 75 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 26 63 610 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Vit Kopriva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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