Brandon Nakashima vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima
#17 · 25 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇳🇱Tallon Griekspoor
#50 · 30 yrs · R
5TitleBrandon Nakashima and Tallon Griekspoor have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Griekspoor's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Erste Bank Open - Vienna
- Level
- ATP 500
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 28 · 8:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.83 or longer, Tallon Griekspoor has won 18 of 49 (37%). The price implied 28%, so Tallon Griekspoor has beaten it by 9 points.
At 1.44 or shorter, Brandon Nakashima has won 115 of 152 (76%). The price implied 73%, so Brandon Nakashima has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Tallon Griekspoor and Brandon Nakashima meet in the first round of the Erste Bank Open in Vienna on October 28, a hard court encounter between two players ranked 50th and 17th respectively. The Dutch player arrives off a five-match winning streak, having played five times in the past two weeks. Nakashima, seeded higher, comes in off a loss and has played only three matches in that span.
Their head-to-head stands level at one win apiece from two prior meetings. Griekspoor has threaded recent form against common opponents; he defeated Alexander Bublik, Alexander Zverev, and Jan-Lennard Struff while Nakashima fell to those same three. On hard courts over a recent sample, Griekspoor sits at 13-7 and 65%, while Nakashima sits at 14-6 and 70%.
Both players rely heavily on their serve, which means holding serve becomes critical and break opportunities will be sparse. Griekspoor's current momentum and match volume stand in contrast to Nakashima's inconsistency this month. The match comes down to who maintains first-serve accuracy under pressure and converts the rare chances that arise.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 39% | 16/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 15/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Tallon Griekspoor are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,846 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 22/23 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 21/23 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 14/23 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 3/23 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–7 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | +22.8% | +44.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.24u | +6.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 7,467 mi · 12,017 km | 6,830 mi · 10,992 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN → FRA → AUT | CHN → BEL → AUT |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | W 46 63 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | W 26 63 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | W 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 61 36 107 | W 63 36 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 61 16 67 26 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 46 62 75 | L 67 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 62 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Flavio Cobolli
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Kyrian Jacquet
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Hamad Medjedovic
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 1st Round
Oct 20
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Jan-Lennard Struff
European Open - Brussels · Final
Oct 25
Francisco Cerundolo
European Open - Brussels · Semifinals
Oct 24
Jiri Lehecka
European Open - Brussels · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Mariano Navone
European Open - Brussels · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Max Schoenhaus
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round
Oct 20
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 47% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |