Brandon Nakashima vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Rafael Jodar have met 1 time since 2026; Brandon Nakashima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Jodar's 0. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 22% | 15/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 84% | 41/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Jodar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +2.3% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +0.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 12 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Jodar's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 67 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 76 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | W 62 61 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 61 60 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 67 75 06 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 63 61 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | L 26 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | W 76 63 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–81 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 75% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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