Brandon Nakashima vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Rafael Jodar have met 1 time since 2026; Brandon Nakashima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Jodar's 0. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 77% | 40/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 16/50 | 24% | 16/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 63% | 34/54 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 96% | 46/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 83% | 40/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Jodar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Jodar
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | +1.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Jodar's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | W 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 61 36 107 | L 26 46 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | W 76 67 46 63 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 67 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 76 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 61 60 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 67 75 06 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 63 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Bublik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Cristian Garin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–80 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 76% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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