Brandon Nakashima vs Marton FucsovicsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Marton Fucsovics have met 3 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Fucsovics's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fucsovics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Marton Fucsovics | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 14% | 3/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Fucsovics 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fucsovics
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 27, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.24 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Fucsovics's 22%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | L 57 46 57 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | L 76 57 16 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 26 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | L 67 26 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | W |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 36 57 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | W 76 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Learner Tien
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–59 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 39% |
| Sets won | 58% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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