Brandon Nakashima vs Marton FucsovicsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Marton Fucsovics have met 3 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Fucsovics's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fucsovics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Marton Fucsovics | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 21% | 6/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Fucsovics 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fucsovics
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 27, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Fucsovics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Marton Fucsovics | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +5.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 12 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fucsovics's 38%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | W 36 61 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 26 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | L 67 26 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | W 63 40 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 36 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | W 76 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Learner Tien
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Matteo Berrettini
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 41% |
| Sets won | 59% | 43% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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