Brandon Nakashima vs Liam BroadyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Liam Broady have met 3 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Broady's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Bergamo Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Liam Broady | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 50/64 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 24% | 22/92 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 56% | 41/73 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 94% | 60/64 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 50/64 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Broady 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Broady
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2020
Indian Wells Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Liam Broady | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 5–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -50.7% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -8.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 161 mi · 259 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nakashima and Broady posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ozan Baris
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Yuta Shimizu
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alex Michelsen
Newport Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Aleksandar Vukic
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–92 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 59% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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