Brandon Nakashima vs Liam BroadyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Liam Broady have met 3 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Broady's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Bergamo Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Liam Broady | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 30% | 21/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 91% | 40/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Broady 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Broady
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2020
Indian Wells Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Liam Broady | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Nakashima and Broady posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Dominic Stricker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Marco Cecchinato
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ozan Baris
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Yuta Shimizu
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Alex Michelsen
Newport Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–71 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.