Brandon Nakashima vs Kamil MajchrzakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Kamil Majchrzak have met 3 times since 2022; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Majchrzak's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kamil Majchrzak won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Majchrzak 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Majchrzak
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Kamil Majchrzak are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 23, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 8, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Majchrzak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Kamil Majchrzak | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -24.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -3.38u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Majchrzak's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 26 63 16 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 36 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | L 46 64 67 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | W 76 61 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 76 36 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | W 76 60 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | W 64 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | L 61 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Mattia Bellucci
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Duckworth
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 47% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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