Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan ThompsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jordan Thompson have met 7 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 4–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 13 sets to Thompson's 8. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Thompson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jordan Thompson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 100% | 4/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Thompson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Jordan Thompson are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 25, 2022
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2022
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 30, 2021
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 22, 2021
Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +27.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Thompson's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | L 76 36 26 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 67 75 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 71% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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