Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan ThompsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jordan Thompson have met 7 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 4–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 13 sets to Thompson's 8. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Thompson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jordan Thompson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Thompson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Jordan Thompson are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 25, 2022
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2022
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 30, 2021
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 22, 2021
Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | - |
| ROI % | +38.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 13 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Thompson's 33%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | L 76 36 26 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 67 75 61 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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