Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2024 on clay. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Jong's 3. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 7, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -40.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -5.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Jong's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 61 60 | L 46 26 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | L 36 06 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 57 26 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | L 62 57 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 67 46 16 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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