Brandon Nakashima vs Hamad MedjedovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#17 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
32 meetings Β· sets 3β2

π·πΈHamad Medjedovic
#76 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
Brandon Nakashima and Hamad Medjedovic have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Belgrade Open - Belgrade in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Medjedovic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 20 Β· 2:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.21 or longer, Hamad Medjedovic has won 6 of 20 (30%). The price implied 25%, so Hamad Medjedovic has beaten it by 5 points.
At 1.36 or shorter, Brandon Nakashima has won 106 of 131 (81%). The price implied 76%, so Brandon Nakashima has beaten it by 5 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Brandon Nakashima and Hamad Medjedovic meet next at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon on October 20 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Medjedovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Hamad Medjedovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 16/50 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Medjedovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Medjedovic
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Hamad Medjedovic are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,456 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Nov 3, 2024
Belgrade Open - Belgrade
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Medjedovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Hamad Medjedovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β6 | 1β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -63.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 12,838 mi Β· 20,661 km | 5,806 mi Β· 9,344 km |
| Route | GBR β JPN β CHN β FRA | CHN β FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medjedovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 62 67 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 61 36 107 | L 16 63 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 76 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 36 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | W 76 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | W 62 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | L 46 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 Β· Rubber 2
Sep 19
Kamil Majchrzak
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Sebastian Ofner
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London Β· 2nd Round
Jun 19
Arthur Rinderknech
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β58 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |