Brandon Nakashima vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Fabio Fognini have met 3 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 3–0. Nakashima has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Fognini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Bergamo Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Fognini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fognini
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 791 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 3, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | - |
| ROI % | +27.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +6.21u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 12 | — |
| Distance | 1,279 mi · 2,059 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Yunchaokete Bu
Turin · Round of 16
May 15
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger · 2nd Round
May 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–63 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 0% |
| Sets won | 58% | 0% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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