Brandon Nakashima vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Fabio Fognini have met 3 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 3–0. Nakashima has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Fognini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Bergamo Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Fognini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fognini
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 3, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +27.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger · 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger · 1st Round
May 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–59 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 0% |
| Sets won | 58% | 0% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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