Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin have met 4 times since 2022; Brandon Nakashima leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 4–0. Nakashima has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 8 sets to Goffin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Goffin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2023
Danderyd Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 24, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 13 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Nakashima and Goffin posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | W 62 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | L 46 63 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 26 63 63 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | L 16 46 |
| Marin Cilic | L 62 46 67 | L 67 57 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 26 57 | W 67 61 61 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | W 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 36% |
| Sets won | 59% | 43% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.