Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin have met 4 times since 2022; Brandon Nakashima leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 4–0. Nakashima has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 8 sets to Goffin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Goffin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2023
Danderyd Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 24, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Goffin's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 26 63 63 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | L 16 46 |
| Marin Cilic | L 62 46 67 | L 67 57 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | W 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Mark Lajal
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 22% |
| Sets won | 59% | 31% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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