Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Rafael Nadal have met 3 times since 2022; Rafael Nadal leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Nadal's 6. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Nadal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Botic van de Zandschulp.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 19, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jul 4, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
May 27, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | - |
| ROI % | +30.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | - |
| Sets won | 55% | - |
| Games won | 51% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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