Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Benjamin Bonzi and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2017; Benjamin Bonzi leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2017 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bonzi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bonzi has taken 10 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Benjamin Bonzi won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bonzi | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benjamin Bonzi | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 18/30 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bonzi 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bonzi
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Benjamin Bonzi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2017
Brest
H Hard · Round of 16
May 30, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bonzi | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Benjamin Bonzi | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +8.5% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.44u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bonzi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Medvedev's 44%).
| Opponent | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 46 75 67 | W 76 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 63 | W 76 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 64 | L 36 67 |
| Quentin Halys | W 26 76 63 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 16 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 36 63 | L 67 63 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 26 | L 62 36 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 16 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 46 16 | W 75 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Alex Molcan
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Quentin Halys
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 72% |
| Sets won | 55% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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