Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทBenjamin Bonzi
#109 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
34 meetings ยท sets 10โ6

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Benjamin Bonzi and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2017; Benjamin Bonzi leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2017 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Bonzi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bonzi has taken 10 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Benjamin Bonzi won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bonzi | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benjamin Bonzi | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 21/33 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bonzi 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bonzi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Oct 16, 2017
Brest
H Hard ยท Round of 16
May 30, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bonzi | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Benjamin Bonzi | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | +23.1% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.69u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,309 mi ยท 5,326 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bonzi's 40%).
| Opponent | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 64 | L 36 67 |
| Quentin Halys | W 26 76 63 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 16 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 36 63 | L 67 63 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 26 | L 62 36 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 16 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 46 36 | W 61 61 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 36 | W 62 67 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 46 16 | W 75 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Quentin Halys
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Kamil Majchrzak
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Justin Boulais
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ66 matches
| Metric | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 54% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bonzi | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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