Aryna Sabalenka vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇰🇿Yulia Putintseva
#80 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Yulia Putintseva have met 3 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Putintseva's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 53% | 10/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 92% | 22/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Putintseva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Putintseva
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 2, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 10, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -4.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Putintseva's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 46 64 61 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | L 67 75 57 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | L 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 61 76 | W 61 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 64 46 57 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 75 62 | W 61 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 62 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 46 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elina Avanesyan
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mona Barthel
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mayar Sherif
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alina Charaeva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Claire Liu
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Chi Fan Liu
Iasi WTA · Round of 32
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 52% |
| Sets won | 79% | 52% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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