Aryna Sabalenka vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇰🇿Yulia Putintseva
#79 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Yulia Putintseva have met 3 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Putintseva's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 12/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Putintseva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Putintseva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 2, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 10, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +3.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +0.38u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Putintseva's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L 36 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 64 46 57 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 46 62 16 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | L 57 76 57 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 46 64 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | L 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 61 76 | W 61 61 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 75 62 | W 61 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 62 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Belinda Bencic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Maya Joint
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Victoria Rodriguez
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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