Aryna Sabalenka vs Veronika KudermetovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#1 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 7โ4

๐ท๐บVeronika Kudermetova
#423 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
45wAryna Sabalenka and Veronika Kudermetova have met 5 times since 2021; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3โ0. On grass courts Kudermetova leads 2โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 7 sets to Kudermetova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Veronika Kudermetova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 0% | 0/2 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Kudermetova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Kudermetova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jun 22, 2023
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Jun 14, 2022
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jan 13, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kudermetova's 0%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jasmine Paolini
Ningbo Open - Ningbo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 16
Antonia Ruzic
Ningbo Open - Ningbo ยท 1st Round
Oct 14
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Sep 28
Anna Bondar
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 11
Janice Tjen
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Jasmine Paolini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 6โ60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 33% |
| Sets won | 79% | 38% |
| Games won | 59% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.