Aryna Sabalenka vs Vera ZvonarevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#1 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ0
๐ท๐บVera Zvonareva
#287 ยท 41 yrs ยท Right-Handed
6wAryna Sabalenka and Vera Zvonareva have met 3 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Zvonareva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at bett1open - Berlin (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Zvonareva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Vera Zvonareva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 56% | 5/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Zvonareva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Zvonareva
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ฏ Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2023
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | 2โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zvonareva's 67%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 26 62 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Lanlana Tararudee
Enka Open - Istanbul ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Viktoria Hruncakova
Enka Open - Istanbul ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Polina Iatcenko
Enka Open - Istanbul ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Susan Bandecchi
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Petra Marcinko
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat ยท 1st Round
May 18
Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Monastir 3 ยท 2nd Round
Mar 12
Alana Smith
W35 Monastir 3 ยท 1st Round
Mar 11
Victoria Mboko
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 64% |
| Sets won | 79% | 58% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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