Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#89 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
4w3Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend have met 1 time since 2026; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Townsend's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 62% | 8/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Townsend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 6, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +2.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Townsend's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 36 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | W 62 67 63 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | W 36 63 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 46 06 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 57 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 36 76 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | L 67 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 36 61 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 63% |
| Sets won | 79% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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