
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2

🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#54 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2017; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Shenzhen (2018).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,362 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 12–12 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -2.50u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maria's 10%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 64 | L |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 75 61 | L |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W | W 64 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | L 57 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 26 06 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 57 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 36 06 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 76 | L 06 67 |
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 20
Nikola Bartunkova
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–61 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 28% |
| Sets won | 82% | 33% |
| Games won | 60% | 45% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |