Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#123 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
25wAryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal have met 1 time since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Kartal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 78% | 7/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Kartal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -26.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Kartal's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | L 06 26 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | W 63 60 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 26 62 63 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 46 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Magda Linette
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Sara Bejlek
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · Quarterfinals
Feb 5
Renata Zarazua
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 2nd Round
Feb 4
Cristina Bucsa
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 2
Anna Kalinskaya
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 65% |
| Sets won | 79% | 63% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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