Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#170 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal have met 1 time since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Kartal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Kartal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +16.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kartal's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 63 | W 60 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | L 06 26 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 26 62 63 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 46 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anhelina Kalinina
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xin Yu Wang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 4th Round
Mar 11
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 70% |
| Sets won | 79% | 66% |
| Games won | 59% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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