Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#1 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐จ๐ฟSara Bejlek
#29 ยท 20 yrs ยท Left-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Sara Bejlek have met 1 time since 2026; Sara Bejlek leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 0 sets to Bejlek's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sara Bejlek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 21% | 4/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 26% | 14/54 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 97% | 32/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 0, Bejlek 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bejlek
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ5 | 11โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | +40.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | +7.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Bejlek's 56%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 46 16 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 36 64 76 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | W 62 62 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 46 61 62 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 16 06 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 16 67 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Barbora Krejcikova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Karolina Pliskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Xiyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 65% |
| Sets won | 79% | 61% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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