Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#2 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐จ๐ฟSara Bejlek
#30 ยท 20 yrs ยท Left-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Sara Bejlek have met 1 time since 2026; Sara Bejlek leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 0 sets to Bejlek's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sara Bejlek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 11% | 2/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 18% | 9/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 45% | 9/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 0, Bejlek 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bejlek
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 10โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +6.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 7,530 mi ยท 12,118 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bejlek's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 67 46 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | L 06 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 46 16 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 36 64 76 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 46 61 62 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 16 06 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 16 67 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maddison Inglis
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Cristina Bucsa
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 15
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 63% |
| Sets won | 79% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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