Aryna Sabalenka vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 35% | 23/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 38% | 9/24 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 1, 2025
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | +10.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | ECU → CAN → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Zarazua's 25%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W 61 76 | W 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 16 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | L 46 16 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 64 61 | L 46 62 46 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 16 16 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–66 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 62% |
| Sets won | 79% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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