Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka MasarovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇸Rebeka Masarova
#180 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7wAryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova have met 2 times since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin in 2025 on grass. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Masarova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Masarova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Rebeka Masarova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 6/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 50% | 7/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Masarova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Masarova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 19, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Masarova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Rebeka Masarova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | -23.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | -2.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Masarova's 0%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 06 06 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Carole Monnet
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Francesca Curmi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Julia Grabher
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 6
Jil Teichmann
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Mia Pohankova
Berlin
Jun 15
Noma Noha Akugue
Berlin
Jun 13
Alexandra Eala
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · Semifinals
Jun 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 51% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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