Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka MasarovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇸Rebeka Masarova
#171 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova have met 2 times since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin in 2025 on grass. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Masarova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Masarova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Rebeka Masarova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 55% | 27/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 64% | 9/14 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 50% | 11/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Masarova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Masarova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 19, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Masarova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Rebeka Masarova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -28.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -2.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 753 mi · 1,212 km |
| Route | ROU | DEN → SRB |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Masarova's 25%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 06 06 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 63 | L 75 26 26 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Isabella Maria Serban
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Lisa Zaar
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mina Hodzic
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Simona Waltert
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Iryna Shymanovich
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Valentina Ryser
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 52% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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