Aryna Sabalenka vs Petra MarticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#2 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ2
๐ญ๐ทPetra Martic
Unranked ยท 35 yrs ยท Right-Handed
67wAryna Sabalenka and Petra Martic have met 3 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 5 sets to Martic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Martic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Petra Martic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | โ | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Martic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Martic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2019
Zhengzhou
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Makarska Open - Makarska ยท 2nd Round
Jun 5
Margaux Rouvroy
Makarska Open - Makarska ยท 1st Round
Jun 4
Amanda Anisimova
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 15
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Ayla Aksu
Megasaray Hotels Open 3 - Antalya ยท 1st Round
Apr 2
Sara Bejlek
Megasaray Hotels Open 2 - Antalya ยท 1st Round
Mar 26
Emma Navarro
Merida Open Akron - Merida ยท 2nd Round
Feb 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 62โ62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | - |
| Sets won | 79% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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