Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇨🇿Nikola Bartunkova
#29 · 20 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Nikola Bartunkova have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin in 2026 on grass. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Bartunkova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Nikola Bartunkova won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bartunkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Nikola Bartunkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 47% | 29/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 18/27 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 51% | 21/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 0, Bartunkova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Bartunkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 19, 2026
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Bartunkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Nikola Bartunkova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +27.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bartunkova's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | W 63 60 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 63 | L 16 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 67 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 63 06 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 36 57 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 64 36 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | W 62 67 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | W 76 06 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 16 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Magdalena Frech
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mayar Sherif
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 61% |
| Sets won | 79% | 58% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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