Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#121 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4Aryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2024; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 62% | 13/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -4.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Uchijima's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Zhuoxuan Bai | W 63 61 | L 64 36 36 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | L 46 76 57 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 64 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | L 64 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 50% |
| Sets won | 79% | 51% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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