Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wAryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2024; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 55% | 11/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Uchijima's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | L 46 76 57 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | L 64 36 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 62 46 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 49% |
| Sets won | 79% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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