Aryna Sabalenka vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–1
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#77 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette have met 4 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tianjin in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–0. Sabalenka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 8 sets to Linette's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 17% | 4/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 44% | 12/27 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 44% | 7/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 26, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 25, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2018
Tianjin
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -86.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -6.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Linette's 43%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 62 46 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 36 57 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 62 26 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 46 06 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sinja Kraus
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Francesca Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 48% |
| Sets won | 79% | 43% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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