Aryna Sabalenka vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–1
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#78 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette have met 4 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tianjin in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–0. Sabalenka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 8 sets to Linette's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 10% | 2/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 43% | 12/28 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 26, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 25, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2018
Tianjin
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -34.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -3.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Linette's 43%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 62 46 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 36 57 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 62 26 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 46 06 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 50% |
| Sets won | 79% | 44% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.