Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison BrenglePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇸Madison Brengle
#211 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
3wAryna Sabalenka and Madison Brengle have met 3 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Brengle's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Brengle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 77% | 33/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 33% | 21/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 61% | 27/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 46% | 6/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Brengle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Brengle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2020
The Top Seed Open - Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Brengle | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -24.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -4.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Brengle's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | W 64 67 63 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 6
Emerson Jones
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexandra Vagramov
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 28
Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 23
Greet Minnen
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Kayla Cross
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Arantxa Sanchez
Newport Beach WTA · Round of 32
Jul 8
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–65 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 66% |
| Sets won | 79% | 65% |
| Games won | 59% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.