Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison BrenglePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇸Madison Brengle
#188 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Brengle have met 3 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Brengle's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Brengle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 77% | 36/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 57% | 26/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 45% | 10/22 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 90% | 45/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 72% | 36/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Brengle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Brengle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2020
The Top Seed Open - Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Brengle | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -9.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -1.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 12 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Brengle's 33%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | W 64 67 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 06 67 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Astra Sharma
W50 Lexington · Semifinals
Oct 10
Lea Ma
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Aspen Schuman
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · Semifinals
Oct 4
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–75 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 63% |
| Sets won | 79% | 61% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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