Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇨🇿Linda Noskova
#8 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova have met 3 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Noskova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Linda Noskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 34% | 20/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 71% | 10/14 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 97% | 36/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Noskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Noskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 8, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Linda Noskova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -0.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Noskova's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | L 26 26 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 63 | W 61 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | W 64 46 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | W 75 57 64 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 62 67 62 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | W 63 46 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 62 46 62 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | W 57 61 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Elena Gabriela Ruse
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lanlana Tararudee
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Katie Volynets
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 69% |
| Sets won | 79% | 62% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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