Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇿Linda Noskova
#6 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova have met 2 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Noskova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Linda Noskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 35% | 21/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 53% | 21/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 71% | 12/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Noskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Noskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 13, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 8, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Linda Noskova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +41.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +7.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sabalenka's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 62 46 62 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 61 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | W 57 61 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 67 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | W 62 57 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 64 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | W 76 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 26 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Katie Boulter
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 68% |
| Sets won | 79% | 62% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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