Aryna Sabalenka vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#102 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
9w3Aryna Sabalenka and Laura Siegemund have met 3 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: GER vs BLR in 2019 on hard. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Siegemund's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Siegemund 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 23, 2019
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 9, 2019
Fed Cup WG R1: GER vs BLR
H Hard · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -66.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Siegemund's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | L 63 67 67 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 64 67 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 36 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | L 26 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 63 26 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 06 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 06 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 38% |
| Sets won | 79% | 41% |
| Games won | 59% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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