Aryna Sabalenka vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#190 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
15w3Aryna Sabalenka and Laura Siegemund have met 3 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: GER vs BLR in 2019 on hard. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Siegemund's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 53% | 8/15 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Siegemund 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 23, 2019
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 9, 2019
Fed Cup WG R1: GER vs BLR
H Hard · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Siegemund's 14%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | L 63 67 67 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 64 67 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 36 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 75 | L 26 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 63 26 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 67 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 40% |
| Sets won | 79% | 43% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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