Aryna Sabalenka vs Kiki BertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#1 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7 meetings ยท sets 6โ10
๐ณ๐ฑKiki Bertens
Unranked ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
266wAryna Sabalenka and Kiki Bertens have met 7 times since 2017; Kiki Bertens leads 5โ2. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG R1: BLR vs NED in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2โ2. On clay courts Bertens leads 2โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Bertens's 10. Their most recent meeting: Kiki Bertens won at Fed Cup, World Group, PO, NED-BLR 2-3 (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Kiki Bertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | โ | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Bertens 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Kiki Bertens are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2020
Fed Cup, World Group, PO, NED-BLR 2-3
C Clay ยท Rubber 3
Oct 28, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard ยท Final
Sep 26, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Jun 28, 2019
Eastbourne
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 2, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Semifinals
May 29, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 128
Feb 11, 2017
Fed Cup WG R1: BLR vs NED
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Marketa Vondrousova
Olympics - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 24
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Shelby Rogers
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Polona Hercog
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 31
Veronika Kudermetova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 2nd Round
May 1
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 29
Xin Yu Wang
BJK Cup Playoffs: NED vs CHN ยท Round Robin
Apr 17
Xi Yao Wang
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, NED-CHN 3-2 ยท Rubber 1
Apr 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | - |
| Sets won | 79% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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