Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla RakhimovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇿Kamilla Rakhimova
#88 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova have met 3 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Rakhimova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Rakhimova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Kamilla Rakhimova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 37% | 15/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 52% | 13/25 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 77% | 10/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Rakhimova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Rakhimova
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 31, 2024
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Rakhimova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Kamilla Rakhimova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Rakhimova's 13%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 46 06 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 63 46 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 64 26 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 67 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 26 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 16 61 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kimberly Birrell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Venus Williams
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Anhelina Kalinina
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 41% |
| Sets won | 79% | 43% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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