Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla RakhimovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–1
🇺🇿Kamilla Rakhimova
#69 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova have met 4 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 8 sets to Rakhimova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Rakhimova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Kamilla Rakhimova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 38% | 22/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 52% | 16/31 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Rakhimova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Rakhimova
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 952 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 31, 2024
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Rakhimova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Kamilla Rakhimova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +3.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rakhimova's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 16 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 46 06 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | W 75 57 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 63 46 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 64 26 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sofia Kenin
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Leylah Fernandez
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Marina Bassols Ribera
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Polina Kudermetova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 48% |
| Sets won | 79% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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