Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇪🇸Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
#99 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro have met 3 times since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Maneiro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bouzas Maneiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 29% | 15/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 47% | 9/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Bouzas Maneiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Maneiro
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Maneiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -29.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -4.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 11,089 mi · 17,846 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maneiro's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L 26 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 16 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 36 76 | L 36 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 76 67 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 57 16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 62 63 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 06 16 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 64 62 | W 75 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | L 63 57 16 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 60 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alexandra Shubladze
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Final
Oct 4
Aliona Falei
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Sofya Lansere
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Yuhan Wang
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Fangran Tian
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dominika Salkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Darja Vidmanova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 43% |
| Sets won | 79% | 46% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.