Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇪🇸Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
#105 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro have met 3 times since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Maneiro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bouzas Maneiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 30% | 15/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 45% | 9/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Bouzas Maneiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Maneiro
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Maneiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -31.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -5.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maneiro's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 76 67 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 57 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 16 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 62 63 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 06 16 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 64 62 | W 75 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | L 63 57 16 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 60 46 26 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 64 61 | W 62 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 61 67 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xiyu Wang
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Ella Seidel
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Anna Bondar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ariana Arseneault
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Marie Bouzkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Qinwen Zheng
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 42% |
| Sets won | 79% | 45% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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