Aryna Sabalenka vs Garbine MuguruzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
193wAryna Sabalenka and Garbine Muguruza have met 3 times since 2018; Garbine Muguruza leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Muguruza leads 2–1. Muguruza has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Muguruza's 4. Their most recent meeting: Garbine Muguruza won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Muguruza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Garbine Muguruza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Muguruza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Muguruza
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2021
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | - |
| Sets won | 79% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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