Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 13–4
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina have met 7 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2018 on hard. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 3–1. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–0. Sabalenka has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 13 sets to Svitolina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Elina Svitolina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 62% | 28/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 36% | 21/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 54% | 25/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 75% | 9/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 100% | 35/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 80% | 28/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 4, Svitolina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 29, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
May 1, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jun 6, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 25, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 26, 2018
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Elina Svitolina | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -1.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sabalenka's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 36 67 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 36 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | W 26 64 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 26 46 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 36 76 | W 76 75 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 36 60 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 61 61 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 64 62 | W 67 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 76% |
| Sets won | 79% | 68% |
| Games won | 59% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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