Aryna Sabalenka vs Donna VekicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#2 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 7โ6

๐ญ๐ทDonna Vekic
#36 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Donna Vekic have met 5 times since 2019; Donna Vekic leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at San Jose in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Vekic leads 3โ2. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 7 sets to Vekic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Donna Vekic won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Vekic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Donna Vekic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 35% | 18/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 76% | 13/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 59% | 22/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Vekic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Vekic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jan 25, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 14, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 3, 2019
San Jose
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Vekic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Donna Vekic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 2โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -4.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Vekic's 11%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 64 26 36 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 75 67 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | L 62 36 57 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 62 46 63 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | L 63 16 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 67 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 46 26 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 57% |
| Sets won | 79% | 57% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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