Aryna Sabalenka vs Donna VekicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 7–6
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
44Aryna Sabalenka and Donna Vekic have met 5 times since 2019; Donna Vekic leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at San Jose in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Vekic leads 3–2. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 7 sets to Vekic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Donna Vekic won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Vekic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Donna Vekic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 71% | 10/14 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 64% | 18/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Vekic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Donna Vekic are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 25, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 14, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 3, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Vekic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Donna Vekic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -0.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,709 mi · 2,751 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vekic's 0%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | L 63 16 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 67 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 64 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 46 26 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ashlyn Krueger
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexandra Eala
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 17
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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