Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle CollinsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 14–3
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
59wAryna Sabalenka and Danielle Collins have met 7 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 7–0. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 5–0. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 7 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 14 sets to Collins's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Collins | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Danielle Collins | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 4, Collins 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Collins are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
May 16, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 29, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Sep 5, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 25, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 28, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | - |
| Sets won | 79% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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