Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara TausonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#42 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Clara Tauson have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Tauson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Tauson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Tauson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 6/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Tauson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Tauson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Tauson | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -2.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tauson's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | W 76 46 63 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | W 62 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 67 26 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 67 64 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 76 16 75 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 26 76 64 | L 36 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 16 64 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 61 76 | W 63 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 61 26 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | W 57 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 49% |
| Sets won | 79% | 52% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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