Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara BurelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇫🇷Clara Burel
#410 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAryna Sabalenka and Clara Burel have met 2 times since 2022; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Burel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Burel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Burel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 40% | 2/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Burel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Burel
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Clara Burel are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 3, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Burel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Burel | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +12.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +1.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Sabalenka and Burel posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 75 62 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Alevtina Ibragimova
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Anastasia Abbagnato
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Oleksandra Oliynykova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elsa Jacquemot
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Varvara Lepchenko
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Alicia Herrero Linana
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Petra Marcinko
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 7
Jana Otzipka
W75 Blois · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 59% |
| Sets won | 79% | 55% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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