Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara BurelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇫🇷Clara Burel
#214 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3wTitleAryna Sabalenka and Clara Burel have met 2 times since 2022; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Burel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Burel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Burel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 33% | 2/6 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Burel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Burel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 3, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Burel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Burel | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -2.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | DEN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Burel's 67%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 61 63 | W 76 60 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 16 57 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 75 62 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alicia Herrero Linana
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Final
Sep 20
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Semifinals
Sep 19
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Aran Teixido Garcia
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katerina Tsygourova
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Final
Sep 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 66% |
| Sets won | 79% | 62% |
| Games won | 59% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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