Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson BranstinePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Carson Branstine
#565 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
41wAryna Sabalenka and Carson Branstine have met 1 time since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Branstine's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Branstine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Carson Branstine | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 11% | 1/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 25% | 1/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Branstine 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Branstine
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -26.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Julia Garcia
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, Group A · Rubber 1
Nov 16
Nuria Brancaccio
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Oct 5
Nuria Brancaccio
Internazionali Di Calabria - Rende · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Bernarda Pera
Internazionali Di Calabria - Rende · 1st Round
Sep 29
Darja Semenistaja
Open Internacional de San Sebastian - San Sebastian · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Julia Grabher
Open Internacional de San Sebastian - San Sebastian · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Marina Bassols Ribera
Open Internacional de San Sebastian - San Sebastian · 1st Round
Sep 9
Simona Waltert
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 56% |
| Sets won | 79% | 53% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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