Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson BranstinePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Carson Branstine
#682 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Carson Branstine have met 1 time since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 2 sets to Branstine's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Branstine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Carson Branstine | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 100% | 3/3 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Branstine 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Branstine
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Branstine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Carson Branstine | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +32.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +1.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | USA → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Carolina Kuhl
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Kamper
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Whitney Osuigwe
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Clervie Ngounoue
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Daria Snigur
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Astra Sharma
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 63% |
| Sets won | 79% | 63% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Branstine |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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