Aryna Sabalenka vs Belinda BencicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Belinda Bencic have met 3 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at New Haven in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 5 sets to Bencic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Belinda Bencic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 41% | 20/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 89% | 8/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 84% | 31/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 70% | 26/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Bencic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 21, 2019
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 24, 2018
New Haven
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Belinda Bencic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | -0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bencic's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 36 | L 36 60 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | L 36 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 36 76 | L 36 63 67 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 63 | W 67 76 64 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 64 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | W 62 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 64 46 06 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 73% |
| Sets won | 79% | 69% |
| Games won | 59% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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