Aryna Sabalenka vs Belinda BencicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Belinda Bencic have met 3 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at New Haven in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 5 sets to Bencic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Belinda Bencic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 41% | 21/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 82% | 9/11 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 71% | 27/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Bencic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 21, 2019
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 24, 2018
New Haven
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Belinda Bencic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +0.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bencic's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 64 36 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 36 67 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 26 76 64 | L 36 60 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 57 06 | W 62 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 64 46 06 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 63 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | W 64 60 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 64 62 | W 26 61 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 16 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 75% |
| Sets won | 79% | 70% |
| Games won | 59% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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