Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2022; Arthur Rinderknech leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Phoenix Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rinderknech leads 2–0. Rinderknech has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 1. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at United Cup (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 2 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.95 or longer, Arthur Rinderknech has won 16 of 55 (29%). The price implied 26%, so Arthur Rinderknech has beaten it by 3 points.
At 1.37 or shorter, Francisco Cerundolo has won 79 of 101 (78%). The price implied 75%, so Francisco Cerundolo has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Francisco Cerundolo meets Arthur Rinderknech in the first round of the Rolex Paris Masters on November 2. The hard court event brings together the world number 19 and number 61, with Cerundolo entering off a two-match skid while Rinderknech has lost four straight.
Rinderknech leads their head-to-head 2-0 in two completed meetings. Recent results against shared opponents paint mixed pictures; Cerundolo defeated Brandon Nakashima and Stefanos Tsitsipas but lost to Jack Draper, while Rinderknech's record against those same players ran 3-2 in his favor. Cerundolo won 2 of his last 5 matches and 5 of 10; Rinderknech won 1 of 5 and 4 of 10 over the same windows.
On hard courts, Cerundolo holds a 55% record and typically plays from the back court, relying on timing and repositioning to absorb pace and construct points. Rinderknech built his game around a strong serve and tends to dictate from the baseline when the opportunity presents itself, converting 40% of his hard court matches. Cerundolo will need to neutralize Rinderknech's service games and stay patient in rallies; Rinderknech must maintain precision off the ground and limit extended exchanges where rhythm matters most.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 7/13 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 30% | 14/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 4/15 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 8/28 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 7/13 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,465 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Dec 29, 2022
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 15, 2022
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -45.8% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.12u | +2.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 5 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 257 mi · 414 km | 7,472 mi · 12,025 km |
| Route | SUI → FRA | CHN → BEL → AUT → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rinderknech's 50%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | W 64 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 62 75 | L 16 46 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | W 67 63 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 63 36 | W 75 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 75 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 61 | W 64 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L | W 64 63 |
| Jack Draper | W 75 67 64 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jerome Kym
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 27
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Cameron Norrie
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 27
Tallon Griekspoor
European Open - Brussels · Semifinals
Oct 24
Clement Chidekh
European Open - Brussels · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Martin Damm
European Open - Brussels · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–59 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 63% |
| Sets won | 46% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |