Arthur Rinderknech vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Arthur Rinderknech
#29 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
4Arthur Rinderknech and Frances Tiafoe have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
π€ Servebot
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β7 | 15β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rinderknech and Tiafoe posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | W 75 63 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 64 | W 57 62 62 |
| Terence Atmane | L 67 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | W 61 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 67 76 75 | W 62 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 46 63 62 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 63 67 | L 36 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β56 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 66% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.