Arthur Rinderknech vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2024; Arthur Rinderknech leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2024 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 3. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -42.5% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.67u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rinderknech's 30%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 63 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | W 76 64 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | W 64 62 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | W 64 46 36 63 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 67 62 76 62 | W 64 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | W 75 63 |
| Terence Atmane | L 67 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–63 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 71% |
| Sets won | 47% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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