Arthur Rinderknech vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Denis Shapovalov have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Stockholm Open - Stockholm in 2021 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 7 sets to Shapovalov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2025
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2022
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -42.5% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.67u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rinderknech's 40%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 76 36 26 | L |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 67 62 76 62 | W 75 61 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 67 63 36 | W 67 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L | W 62 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 67 64 64 | W 64 46 64 61 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 63 36 | W 62 36 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 26 76 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | L 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 36 63 64 | W 76 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 75 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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