Arthur Rinderknech vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Denis Shapovalov have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Stockholm Open - Stockholm in 2021 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 7 sets to Shapovalov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2025
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2022
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rinderknech and Shapovalov posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 67 63 36 | W 61 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 63 36 | W 62 36 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 26 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 63 67 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 64 | L 76 46 57 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | L 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 36 63 64 | W 76 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 75 46 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | L 57 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 46% |
| Sets won | 50% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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