Arthur Fils vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทArthur Fils
#11 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7TitleArthur Fils and Carlos Alcaraz have met 3 times since 2025; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 1 sets to Alcaraz's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 29/29 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
๐ค Servebot
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Final
Apr 19, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Apr 11, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ3 | 11โ1 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.89u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi ยท 1,758 km | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km |
| Route | JPN โ CHN | GBR โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fils's 80%).
| Opponent | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 61 67 63 | W 76 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 57 64 46 | W 64 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 67 76 76 | W 64 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 75 62 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 61 | W 76 63 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 76 | W 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 61 46 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 76 | W 76 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Luca Van Assche
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Final
Aug 23
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ47 matches
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 86% |
| Sets won | 68% | 78% |
| Games won | 56% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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