Arthur Fils vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทArthur Fils
#11 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
9Title3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20wArthur Fils and Carlos Alcaraz have met 3 times since 2025; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 1 sets to Alcaraz's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 25/25 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Final
Apr 19, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Apr 11, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | - |
| ROI % | +17.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.94u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 9 | โ |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fils and Alcaraz posted a 90% win rate.
| Opponent | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 75 62 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 61 67 63 | W 64 62 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 61 | W 76 63 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 76 | W 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 61 46 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 76 | W 76 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 63 | W 62 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 67 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 40โ42 matches
| Metric | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 86% |
| Sets won | 70% | 80% |
| Games won | 56% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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